{"id":137722,"date":"2024-06-29T03:12:10","date_gmt":"2024-06-29T03:12:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/websitedesigns.com.au\/elankanew\/?p=137722"},"modified":"2024-06-29T03:18:01","modified_gmt":"2024-06-29T03:18:01","slug":"the-double-edged-sword-falling-oil-prices-and-regional-impacts-by-hemantha-yapa-abeywardena","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/websitedesigns.com.au\/elankanew\/the-double-edged-sword-falling-oil-prices-and-regional-impacts-by-hemantha-yapa-abeywardena\/","title":{"rendered":"The Double-Edged Sword: Falling Oil Prices and Regional Impacts &#8211; By Hemantha Yapa Abeywardena"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2 style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #008080;\"><strong>The Double-Edged Sword: Falling Oil Prices and Regional Impacts &#8211; By Hemantha Yapa Abeywardena<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-133337 size-thumbnail aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/websitedesigns.com.au\/elankanew\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Hemantha-Yapa-Abeywardena-150x150.jpg\" alt=\"Hemantha Yapa Abeywardena\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px; color: #000000;\">Source :\u00a0<a style=\"color: #000000;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.oilfutures.co.uk\/2024\/06\/the-double-edged-sword-falling-oil.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">oilfutures<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"separator\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.oilfutures.co.uk\/2024\/06\/the-double-edged-sword-falling-oil.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" title=\"Falling oil prices\" src=\"https:\/\/blogger.googleusercontent.com\/img\/b\/R29vZ2xl\/AVvXsEiguqVo0FnwpHAq6HPu2G_TiT_3RGKsLWuVnOjpzSWb23xc4REqPQPobZd91xjblPGcHf3HjHXSkiES1ldFX6NdOdEsy43r1oDllZdjlMpdjHHwvwPMmAhgp9aczyjn4wj0XX0Uej-0e1m7cbfbB5v6ZqQhxoQXExESy9k-qblKeMzUPVoU-X6stWUv2HI\/s16000-rw\/falling%20oil%20prices.jpg\" alt=\"Falling oil prices\" width=\"553\" height=\"379\" border=\"0\" data-original-height=\"411\" data-original-width=\"600\" \/><\/a><\/div>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 16px; color: #000000;\">The price of crude oil slightly increased as the weekend approached, something that has been attributed to the rising tension in the Middle East between Israel and Hezbollah, the Shite military group in Lebanon.\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"separator\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"separator\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 16px; color: #000000;\">As of 18:00 GMT, the prices of WTI and Brent were at $81.58 and $86.46 respectively. The price of LNG, liquified natural gas, meanwhile, was at $2,60.<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"separator\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"separator\" style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<div class=\"separator\"><span style=\"font-size: 16px; color: #000000;\"><a style=\"color: #000000;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.oilfutures.co.uk\/2024\/06\/the-double-edged-sword-falling-oil.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone\" title=\"US Crude stocks in June\" src=\"https:\/\/blogger.googleusercontent.com\/img\/b\/R29vZ2xl\/AVvXsEjiSQTneqBWyF6JceSLP6gwUlfaCwQWDLsURJQlDfC6_shHMyonTLJYWZAmEv9uT7QdVZ9WnVceUjxanwRNOgRtX5nOmfZ6N4Ayv3_17NO8ae2sJeUfVMaig9le_MK64UW686DQXzI6WwcHxVkzIZWd5iALAX9quIqdc829O5XfTYKvu3Vu_7HG2ZyQ25U\/s16000-rw\/us-crude-stocks-june.PNG\" alt=\"US Crude stocks in June\" width=\"642\" height=\"421\" border=\"0\" data-original-height=\"421\" data-original-width=\"642\" \/><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 16px; color: #000000;\">The US crude stocks, against all odds, rose again during the last week, deviating from the draw that was reported a week ago. It raises the prospect of feeble demand that has been the case for months; this is rather unexpected in the US, the world&#8217;s top consuming nation of the fossil fuels, despite the onset of the summer driving season.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 16px; color: #000000;\">The fact that the price of oil slightly went up despite the rising US crude stocks has been attributed to the rising tension between Israel and Hezbollah; the northern border between Israel and Lebanon has been a hotbed for hostilities involving both sides since Israel launched a full-scale war in the Gaza Strip against Hamas.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 16px; color: #000000;\">Not a day gone by without a military confrontation of some form along the border in question since October, 2023.\u00a0 As Israel beefed up its military units in the region, the spectre of a direct, deadly confrontation appears to be much more real than ever before .\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 16px; color: #000000;\">Although the West fears that it would get out of control and evolve into a broader regional conflict involving Iran, the latter in the recent past proved, time and again, that it was not interested in a major war with the Jewish state, especially due to its own economic reasons; Iran has so many domestic issues to be addressed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 16px; color: #000000;\">Military uncertainties in the Middle Eastern theatre are nothing new; they just come and go. Despite the hullaballoo from both sides, the military confrontations in the region &#8211; and in the 21st century &#8211;\u00a0 are usually short-lived, as the major global powers and regional allies use their influence to mitigate the severity\u00a0 and bring about some sort of resolution in the event of a war breaking out.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 16px; color: #000000;\">In short, the particular factor that has recently arisen in the Middle East is certainly has not got the psychological ingredients to lift the oil prices up for a sustainable period of time; it is highly unlikely that the price of oil will go through the roof even if a war breaks out &#8211; and when the initial excitement wears\u00a0 off.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 16px; color: #000000;\">That means the price of both WTI and Brent would be in $70s in the foreseeable future.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 16px; color: #000000;\">Of course, it is not a range that the oil producers want prices to be in. The circumstances, however, do not favour an alternative, other than a prolonged stagnation &#8211;\u00a0 exactly what we just see at present.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 16px; color: #000000;\">If the price of oil falls down further, it could trigger off a chain reaction, impacting the Middle Eastern economies that heavily rely on oil for enriching their coffers, the men and women from South and East Asia, employed in the region, and of course, exporters that supply the very countries with goods of all sorts; the diminishing spending power of the countries will affect the West too in the long run.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 16px; color: #000000;\">in short, the impact will be felt far beyond the borders of the region.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 16px; color: #000000;\"><a style=\"color: #000000;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.oilfutures.co.uk\/2024\/06\/the-double-edged-sword-falling-oil.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" title=\"Oil price crash: 2014\/16\" src=\"https:\/\/blogger.googleusercontent.com\/img\/b\/R29vZ2xl\/AVvXsEhrapCF_2d6ELM-Kfsq_v9pLF0quuTwNeihX2SzhxTejymMXZohSXVSvbjvNhGfdMCrxZEfpBobbffMJO70n3UlqMf6EZtr9co0PyhnPtU-MMrNOT3r3Mfu5Gdo2qlksas5PKHwsLAy2mkAv1iWXn6T-O0d8o_UjmBuyiOZ_mN0RcYa6N58c1EZ5DgRU-k\/s16000-rw\/oil-price-crash-2014-16.png\" alt=\"Oil price crash: 2014\/16\" width=\"576\" height=\"423\" border=\"0\" data-original-height=\"441\" data-original-width=\"600\" \/><\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 16px; color: #000000;\">Oil producers, for the right reasons, feel a sense of\u00a0d\u00e9j\u00e0 vu in the current circumstances:\u00a0Between 2014 and 2016, this is exactly what happened, much to their horror; the oil price crashed by more that 50% and stayed that way for a painfully long period of time that resulted in massive job losses, economies seeing red and dwindling investment in infrastructure.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 16px; color: #000000;\">Since oil sales are the lifeblood of many Middle Eastern countries, falling prices translate to a significant drop in government revenue. This disrupts budgets, hindering investments in public services, infrastructure development, and social programs.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 16px; color: #000000;\">In addition, reduced government spending weakens economic activity. Projects are stalled, and businesses face tighter budgets. This translates to slower economic growth, impacting overall prosperity<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 16px; color: #000000;\">The impact may be felt in other areas too: oil revenue, for instance,\u00a0 stabilizes regional currencies. When oil prices fall, these currencies can weaken, making imports more expensive and potentially leading to inflation.<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"separator\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"separator\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 16px; color: #000000;\">If the fall in oil price is inevitable, there is a silver line in the dark cloud:\u00a0 for instance, this could be a wake-up call for the Middle Eastern countries to diversify their economies while reducing the dependency on the commodity to fill up the coffers.\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 16px; color: #000000;\">Saudi Arabia&#8217;s ambition to turn the kingdom to a major tourist destination is a case in point. The UAE has already turned itself into a major economic and tourist hub &#8211; the envy of the region.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 16px; color: #000000;\">If the prices of the commodities from the region continue to stagnate, the other regional players will jump on the band wagon too in order to avert a major socio-economic blow.<\/span><\/p>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\"><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"font-size: 16px; color: #800000;\"><em><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a style=\"color: #800000; text-decoration: underline;\" href=\"https:\/\/websitedesigns.com.au\/elankanew\/elanka-newsletter-sign-up\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Click here to receive your free copy of the eLanka Newsletter twice a week delivered directly\u00a0to\u00a0your\u00a0inbox!<\/strong><\/a><\/span><\/em><\/span><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Double-Edged Sword: Falling Oil Prices and Regional Impacts &#8211; By Hemantha Yapa Abeywardena Source :\u00a0oilfutures The price of crude oil slightly increased as the weekend approached, something that has been attributed to the rising tension in the Middle East between Israel and Hezbollah, the Shite military group in Lebanon.\u00a0\u00a0 As of 18:00 GMT, the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":137723,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"aside","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[20,63176],"tags":[51056,63197,66241,63844],"class_list":{"0":"post-137722","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-aside","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-articles","8":"category-hemantha-yapa-abeywardena","9":"tag-fuel-prices","10":"tag-hemantha-yapa-abeywardena","11":"tag-liquified-natural-gas","12":"tag-oil-prices","13":"post_format-post-format-aside"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v25.7.1 (Yoast SEO v25.9) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>The Double-Edged Sword: Falling Oil Prices and Regional Impacts - By Hemantha Yapa Abeywardena - eLanka<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The Double-Edged Sword: Falling Oil Prices and Regional Impacts - By Hemantha Yapa Abeywardena The price of crude oil slightly\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Double-Edged Sword: Falling Oil Prices and Regional Impacts - By Hemantha Yapa Abeywardena\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The Double-Edged Sword: Falling Oil Prices and Regional Impacts - By Hemantha Yapa Abeywardena The price of crude oil slightly\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/websitedesigns.com.au\/elankanew\/the-double-edged-sword-falling-oil-prices-and-regional-impacts-by-hemantha-yapa-abeywardena\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"eLanka\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/eLanka.com.au\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-06-29T03:12:10+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-06-29T03:18:01+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/websitedesigns.com.au\/elankanew\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/The-Double-Edged-Sword-Falling-Oil-Prices-and-Regional-Impacts-By-Hemantha-Yapa-Abeywardena-e1719630716892.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"600\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"450\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"eLanka admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"eLanka admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"5 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/websitedesigns.com.au\/elankanew\/the-double-edged-sword-falling-oil-prices-and-regional-impacts-by-hemantha-yapa-abeywardena\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/websitedesigns.com.au\/elankanew\/the-double-edged-sword-falling-oil-prices-and-regional-impacts-by-hemantha-yapa-abeywardena\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"eLanka admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/websitedesigns.com.au\/elankanew\/#\/schema\/person\/f6e635b74ab35ef88a68a9973cacc5bd\"},\"headline\":\"The Double-Edged Sword: Falling Oil Prices and Regional Impacts &#8211; 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